| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | UL Monroe | 62-13 | 1730.3 | -5.6 | 1724.8 | 98.2% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Minnesota | 38-13 | 1724.8 | +48.3 | 1773.1 | 50.5% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | South Carolina | 41-34 | 1773.1 | +9.5 | 1782.6 | 47.8% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Missouri | 31-24 | 1782.6 | -27.6 | 1755.0 | 65.3% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Alabama | 23-56 | 1755.0 | -24.8 | 1730.2 | 25.5% |